By: Big Rygg
Corey Hart apparently has a pretty high opinion of himself.
I mean…he’d have to, right? Hart’s numbers have gone down each of the last two years (the second of which was his first year of arbitration eligibility) after a very good 2007 in which he posted a line of .295/.353/.539 with 24 home runs, 81 RBI, 23 stolen bases, 86 runs scored, all in 505 at-bats. Coupled with the first half of 2008, and a strong voting campaign courtesy of the Milwaukee Brewers, Hart was rewarded with a trip to the All-Star Game in Yankee Stadium.
Certain numbers did go up in 2008 (strikeouts, double plays grounded into) but the full season line ended up as .268/.300/.459 with only 20 home runs, a drop of four. In 107 more at-bats in 2008, Hart somehow walked nine fewer times (36 to 27) than the year before. He also scored 10 fewer runs (76) and didn’t increase his stolen bases at all.
Despite all of that information and more, Hart was still handsomely rewarded in his first year of arbitration to the tune of $3.25 million. It made sense that Hart would receive a big raise. After all, that’s how the arbitration process works; specifically assuring a player gets a significant jump in pay in their first year of eligibility is the unwritten rule.
If one were to go back and look at some of the details, however, one could notice a bad omen. Hart took until the 11th hour to agree to a one-year deal and avoid the dreaded arbitration hearing. It would have been the first for Doug Melvin’s staff since he was handed the general manager reigns of the Brewers.
Instead, a $1.1 million gap was bridged and a deal was struck between Hart and the front office at the middle of the exchanged figures of $3.8 million and $2.7 million. The Brewers’ starting right fielder reported to spring training and got to work. The $3.8 million figure that was submitted by Hart’s team was questionable at the time but eventually both sides decided that meeting halfway made the most sense (as it usually does).
Given that a $1.1 million gap was able to be figured out, it would stand to reason that a smaller difference would be easier to compromise on. That hasn’t been the case at all so far this offseason. The $650 thousand gap between the $4.8 million submitted by Hart and the $4.15 million turned in by the Brewers this year seems relatively simple. Compromise at or near $4.475 million and get on with the business of playing ball.
By all accounts, however, the current expanse appears more Grand Canyon-esque than before.
Teddy Werner is dealing with the Hart impasse as the Brewers’ negotiator. He has said that at some point you just have to start preparing your case because the efforts to get an agreement signed have failed. Werner has gone on record as saying that “barring a drastic change in the landscape, we’re probably going down to Tampa in a few weeks.” Tampa is where the arbitration hearings are being held this year.
Any fan that has heard discussion about arbitration hearings knows that they are rumored to be quite nasty. The player’s representation pumps the him up and attempts to make him look like the next coming of Albert Pujols. The team, conversely, basically points out every flaw, blemish, hiccup, zit, pock mark, scar…heck, they’d probably point out his razor burn if they thought it would get the panel of arbiters to rule in favor of the organization.
And Corey Hart? He has his fair share of issues to point out.
What I want to get to in this article, though, is whether Hart is worth it. I don’t just mean whether he’s worth $4.8 million, though I’ll get to that as well (hint: he’s not). I mean whether or not a guy with good upside that has shown his ability to put it all together in the past is worth this hassle.
Is it worth the team’s time and Hart’s time away from the rest of the team to fly to Tampa, Florida to argue? Does it make sense for the team to tear down a young and still potentially important piece to the franchise’s success?
Hart’s production declined again from 2008 to 2009. There was some time missed for an emergency appendectomy, but Hart really wasn’t ever hitting the ball all that well to begin with. With as poorly as he played, I didn’t even expect the figure that the team submitted to begin with a four. When the team put a $4.125 million number on record, I thought it extremely fair. I also think that the team only went that high after it had gotten the impression that Hart felt he was much closer to $5 million in value than $4 million.
They didn’t want to lose all chance at winning by coming in too low. That’s an unfortunate reality with the structure of the system that the Brewers were trying to head off at the pass. Also with some of Hart’s comparables getting around or above the same $4.8 million amount which Hart’s team submitted, it’s not a stretch to think that even though Hart played as poorly as he did that he’d actually win this case.
His team is playing hardball, plain and simple.
This all goes back to the observation at the beginning of this article. If Hart didn’t think so highly of his supposed talent, assumed ability and potential rebound, there’s no way he would let a relatively palatable gap blow his relationship with the Brewers sky high.
Then again, it was Hart that ripped on Milwaukee fans in the media and then feebily tried to backtrack by clarifying the intent behind his words. His plan could very well be to maximize his earnings during arbitration because he’s just going to bolt town when the time comes anyway. My contention is that if he’s not careful, he might be buying his way out of town before he’s contractually allowed to leave on his own.
I say that plainly because Corey Hart isn’t worth it.
Care for some reasons I feel that way? Alright.
- We can get similar production from a veteran for less money which adds to flexibility in payroll and there are plenty of veterans available to choose from.
- Hart has trade value and could be moved either alone or as part of a package to bring back a player that the Brewers couldn’t as easily replace with a veteran free agent or from within. Something like a starting pitcher leaps to mind.
- There are a couple of good outfield prospects in our system that might be ready to break into the majors. With an available spot on the 25-man roster, they might get that opportunity sooner thereby contributing to the success of the parent club sooner.
The bottom line in this situation is that unless Hart rebounds in a big way in terms of production, he isn’t worth the money that he’s going to make next year or in his final year of arbitration.
I’ll say this: His value is down right now, but if he plays well enough over the first half of 2010, I wouldn’t be shocked at all to see him moved at the deadline as the Brewers bring in some help for the balance of the season.
After all, value is in the eye of the beholder. Hart’s eye is delivering a bit more slanted of a view right now. If the Brewers can find another GM that feels the same way, why not maxmize the return on your investment by getting a player back that may help out more down the road than Corey Hart will be capable of doing in 2011.
By: Big Rygg
Plenty to talk about as I roll out a new title here. When I have several things to discuss and I choose to put them in one post instead of several, it’ll be called “Quick Hops” as I hop from topic to topic. Oh, and if you don’t know, hops are an ingredient in beer…and the team is the Brewers…I hope you’re following me.
Anyway, let’s get to it!
Non-Tender Choices Add Intrigue to Spring Training
The Milwaukee Brewers chose not to tender contracts to injured relief pitcher Mark DiFelice, pitcher Seth McClung and catcher Mike Rivera. This makes the three men free agents, able to sign a contract with any team. Feel free to skip the next two paragraphs if you understand the arbitration system and what the meaning of the non-tender is.
The system that is in place in Major League Baseball allows for a team to “control” a player for six seasons of service time (in the majority of cases). During the first three years of team control (again, in most cases) the team has 100% control over what they pay a player provided that the salary is at least as much as the league-mandated minimum. Typically teams negotiate salaries with players on a year-to-year basis anyway in an effort to involve the player in their money-dealings, but the team has the final say if they and the player cannot reach an accord. If that happens, then the team “renews” the player’s contract at whatever number they deem fair. This can upset players greatly if they feel they outperformed a certain level of pay with their level of play. Prince Fielder is the Brewers’ most recent example of that situation when, after becoming the youngest player in the history of the league to slug 50 home runs in a single season, he felt he was deserving of much more than the contract that he was offered. The two sides couldn’t reach an agreement, so the team renewed Fielder’s contract at a rate that was in line with their team’s pay scale for non-arbitration eligible players.
Being eligible for arbitration is what leads to the non-tendering of contracts if it’s going to happen. When a player becomes eligible for arbitration, salary is no longer completely up to the team. There are a lot of details that I could bore you with, but the basics are that the team and player negotiate to reach a salary for the upcoming year. If the two sides cannot agree on a number by a certain, pre-determined date then they exchange figures. These figures are those that they will submit to a salary arbiter before the season begins. Arbitration hearings are scheduled over a few days in the spring. The team and player can continue to negotiate up to the beginning of the hearing to reach an agreement. If they do, great. The player signs the contract and plays under its terms. If they don’t, a three-member arbitration panel hears the case and chooses one of the figures the sides submitted several weeks prior. (To note: During Doug Melvin’s tenure as General Manager of the Brewers, no player has gone to a hearing.)
Now, the reason that arbitration eligibility can lead to a non-tender is because the contracts a player gets go up in value significantly during arbitration. The jump in salary in the first year of eligibility is often a multi-million dollar one. What’s more, is that arbitration salaries are often influenced simply by service time itself more so than performance. For example, former Brewer J.J. Hardy made around $4MM in 2009. His 2009 season was terrible. It was terrible statistically and it was terrible peripherally. Hardy is not worthy of even the same salary let alone an increase in salary. However, with the system that’s in place, it is an unbelievable rarity that a player’s salary goes lower.
To summarize this entire Hop, allow me to say this: While Mark DiFelice was non-tendered under the rare case where he wasn’t arbitration eligible (he had shoulder surgery which will most likely cost him his entire 2010 season), the increases in salary that McClung and Rivera (who is eligible for arbitration for the first time) stand to receive are more than the Brewers want to pay for those positions for next year. McClung might have been a combination of high-salary/low-performance with the adding of LaTroy Hawkins and needed a spot on the 40-man roster for him, but most likely they could’ve kept McClung anyway with the injury to DiFelice. As for Mike Rivera, the Brewers are finally able to move on from the career backup. Rivera has been a servicable backup backstop during his time with this franchise however he has never been the future at the catcher position. The Brewers knew this when Damian Miller retired and they brought in Jason Kendall for the last two years with Rivera backing him up. Finally, however, the Brewers feel that they have talent at the position in the minor leagues such that they can promote from within and, with a season or two of tutelage at the Major League level, have a home-grown starting catcher for the first time since Mike Matheny.
This should make for a fun battle to watch during Spring Training. The Brewers have two catchers that might be ready to make the jump. Angel Salome has been the most talked about catching prospect in the system for a couple of years now, especially when he put up such gaudy offensive numbers as part of that stacked AA Huntsville club from two seasons ago that included Alcides Escobar, Mat Gamel, Matt LaPorta and others. He was the starting catcher for AAA Nashville last year. The catching prospect that has gotten the most talk lately, howevere, has been Jonathan Lucroy who was the starting catcher for Huntsville in 2009. The consensus seems to be that Lucroy might be more ready for the big leagues now with his better plate discipline and what not, but that Salome’s ceiling might still be higher. The Brewers did also claim George Kottaras on waivers early in the off-season as well, so if both youngsters are unable to show anything in spring training that wins them the job, Kottaras might end up being the defacto big league backup while the kids get some more seasoning down on the farm.
Any way it ends up, it ought to be a fun ride. Stay tuned.
The Craigger Set to Stay Put, Announcement to Come Monday?
Monday is shaping up to be a big day for Doug Melvin’s staff. The reports from Indianapolis at the Winter Meetings this past Monday through Thursday were that free-agent pitcher Randy Wolf would be announced to the media as the Brewers’ latest acquisition this coming Monday after passing his required physical examination.
The Brewers, though, just might have two names to announce on Monday. While free-agent signee LaTroy Hawkins was rumored to be announced this coming Tuesday, veteran infielder and team leader Craig Counsell has reportedly agreed to stay in Milwaukee for what might be the balance of his career.
I couldn’t be happier about this move. Even if Counsell doesn’t duplicate his offensive production from 2009, his ability to play three infield positions very well defensively is a huge asset to this team. With inexperienced (at the major league level) starters at SS and 3B in Escobar and Casey McGehee respectively along with Rickie Weeks one bat waggle away from season-ending surgery, having Counsell to spell all three positions is as invaluable for 2010 as having him has proven to be over the past couple of years as well.
Welcome back, Craigger! The Brewer Nation is glad you never left.
Rumor Burner Stays Warm on Hot Stove
Doug Melvin has made no bones about his desire to add two starting pitchers during this off-season. Signing Randy Wolf to a free agent contract gives him one. Where the second one comes from has been a matter of some opinion.
There are still plenty of free agents on the market to be sure. Given the Brewers’ projected payroll, some of them are out of the team’s price range. However, there are several that can be had for a reasonable rate that have great chances to put up better numbers than most members of the Crew’s 2009 starting rotation. In this realm, names like Doug Davis, Jon Garland, Erik Bedard, Justin Duchscherer, Wisconsin-native Jarrod Washburn and the recently non-tendered Chien-Mien Wang to name a few.
Pulling off a trade is another possibility that is open to Melvin et al. The Brewers still have a handful of trade chips that they can deal to interested teams to get a starting pitcher in return. It’s all about making something work for all teams involved. The biggest rumor that has been floating around since the Winter Meetings is a trade involving the New York Mets which would send Corey Hart to the Big Apple in exchange for John Maine. This makes sense for a couple of different reasons for both teams, but the biggest thing for Milwaukee’s point of view is that it gets us another starting pitcher. It also relieves us of Corey Hart and his waning value. He performed poorly last year but has had recent success and could still have plenty of upside. Maine has worked with new Brewer pitching coach Rick Peterson before when Peterson was in the same role with the Mets. The pairing led to Maine’s best season as a pro so it’s reasonable that it could produce positive results should the two be reunited in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are rumored to be preparing for this possible trade by readying offers to a handful of right fielders. They haven’t offered contracts to any of them yet, of course, because Corey Hart is still on the roster and would start in right field is no move is made. However, I have been told that guys such as Austin Kearns, Xavier Nady and recent 2009 Brewer Frank Catalanotto (who has one of the best batter walkup tunes EVER!). It’ll be interesting to see if the Brewers need to make an offer to one of these players or to another outfielder altogether. Even if they keep Hart, they carried five outfielders for the majority of 2009 and they currently only have four on the 25-man roster in Carlos Gomez, Ryan Braun, Jody Gerut and Hart.
Whether a trade or signing is next on the horizon for this team remains to be seen, but the Hot Stove League shouldn’t cool down for Milwaukee for a bit yet.
Just an FYI here to finish things up, the next Brewer Nation podcast with yours truly and Cary Kostka should be recorded at some point this month, schedules permitting. We’ll definitely keep you posted though here at the blog so come back often and thanks for your continued (or brand new) readership!
The Milwaukee Brewers have avoided an arbitration hearing with J.J. Hardy for the second time by agreeing to a one-year deal worth a reported $4.65 million. If accurate, this would represent a raise of exactly $2 million for the starting shortstop.